• Moobythegoldensock@lemm.ee
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    1 year ago

    3 months ago: Everyone’s going to lose their jobs!

    Today: Generative AI’s dead!

    More realistically: Generative AI is a tool that will gradually get better over time. It is not universally applicable, but it does have a lot of potential applications. It is not going to take over the world, nor will it just suddenly go away.

    • bouh@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      IMO it’ll be more like internet: society will take years to adapt to it and democratise its use. It took 30 years for Internet to bloom and it is now a primary service in Europe. I’m pretty sure AI will take this road.

    • sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works
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      1 year ago

      That’s pretty much been my take from the beginning. My main concerns were and still are:

      • IP law, specifically copyright infringement
      • correctness - ChatGPT makes stuff up
      • detection - esp for school

      My main fear was that it would be more useful for scammers and fraudsters than legitimate uses because of the above issues. I still have those concerns.

      With any new technology that people say well change the world overnight, take a step back and think it through. For example:

      • self driving cars - we still have taxis, Uber, etc, so it hasn’t taken over despite being here for years
      • robotics in manufacturing - it’s incredibly expensive to put together and end to end robotic factory, so there are still plenty of manufacturing jobs
      • automated fast food - again, the most I’ve seen is increased number of kiosks, that’s it

      And so on. People freak out about new tech, then a couple years later they realize that it’s not “finished” and there will be plenty of time to adapt. Unless we recover an alien spaceship or something, that’s just not how technology progresses. Eventually generative AI will redically change our society, but it’ll take decades, so by the time your job is threatened, you’ll be ready to retire.