The National Hurricane Center says there’s a 70% chance the system will become a tropical storm by Monday and a 90% chance overall.
I’m posting daily about this one in !tropicalweather@lemmy.world.
Right now the intensity models are predicting a CAT 1 with landfall happening sometime between Tuesday and Wednesday. Of course there’s plenty of time for those predictions to change. 😛
With the oceans very warm around Florida that system could do a lot of things quick.
Since when does a possible tropical storm deserve a state of emergency?
It cuts through a bunch of red tape, and we haven’t had a hurricane target the state this year. Right now, NHC is predicting a Cat 1 hurricane. That’s only hurricane party weather. Unless you live in a low lying area or are susceptible to storm surge. That prediction will probably change though.
A Cat 1 will still cause a lot of problems in North Florida. Since they don’t get hit as often they aren’t used to it, the infrastructure isn’t ready for it, the trees aren’t ready for it, etc. I remember one fucking up Tallahassee not too many years ago.
Hurricane Michael absolutely creamed Bay County five years ago. Knocked down so many trees that the water table went up. Not to mention the number of homes that took major damage. There are more pine trees in the north. It wouldn’t surprise me if more were downed.
I’m not sure how ready the state’s infrastructure is to begin with given how much bigger and stronger the canes are getting. Plus we have so many people living along the coast.
Lol I haven’t heard “creamed” in 20 years, thanks for the reminder. Great expression.
More than that for me. I associate it with kids talking about other kids in school fights in the 80s. “Bobby got creamed by Jeff!”
A lot of big oaks and other trees are vulnerable too. In South Florida the trees are periodically culled by hurricanes so the trees still standing have made it through a few storms and the ones that do go down are fewer in number. Up north they had decades upon decades of growth that had never seen a hurricane. A tree growing in a way not conducive to hurricane survival growing for decades then getting knocked down can cause a lot of issues.
Slash pine is as hurricane resistant as anything and the only reason there isn’t a lot left is because they were on the few spits of dry land in South Florida. So naturally they were cut down for timber used to build on that dry land.
Yea, it sounds like DeSantis doesn’t want to actually do his “Governor of Florida” duties since he’s out campaigning and just cut a huge chunk of the state responses over to the federal government.
Hurricane party?
Tropical storms and weak hurricanes provide an excuse to get drunk and bbq.
Are there actually people that need an excuse to get drunk and bbq? Sounds like a normal Saturday to me.
Point, but there’s extra time and if the power goes out you gotta eat the fridge with friends or it all spoils.
Old Floridian proverb?
Can’t go to work, can’t go to school, can’t go much of anywhere, but it’s not a big enough deal that you actually have to worry about damage beyond a few tree branches being blown loose.
Grab some booze, snacks, and candles just in case. Charge up your battery powered devices, invite some people over, and vibe while it’s dumping outside. If you have a screened porch, it generally includes one to several periods of just watching the storm with a drink.
Get shit faced because there’s not much you can do during a hurricane. Especially cat 2 and under.
Honestly? I don’t think it does, at least not this early, and not covering so much of the state. I think this is DeSantis trying to look like he cares about people, is a person who is forward-looking and proactive, and (above all) trying to improve his poll numbers.
Time to drink from that fed trough
Uh-oh! Who’s got the sharpie?
“It not immediately clear if the storm would reach hurricane strength…”
Excellent proofreading, NBC!
What wrong with it?
Why use many words when few words do.
Gulf hurricanes are going to be absolutely devastating this year. The heat in the gulfs water is going to absolutely super charge them. Those of us in the South East United States can only hope that they move quick.
Forecast models have the storm curving to the northeast toward Florida, coming ashore along the Gulf coast north of Tampa near the Big Benda area and then heading diagonally across the state to emerge again in the Atlantic Ocean near southeast Georgia.
