• dudinax@programming.dev
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    22
    ·
    edit-2
    10 months ago

    Haley might win. It’s conceivable, though unlikely, that the SC will follow the constitution and ban Donnie from office.

    As someone pointed out in a different thread, she is the leading eligible Republican.

    • CarbonIceDragon
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      13
      ·
      10 months ago

      Beyond that, Trump is also fairly old too, it’s not impossible for him to suffer a heart attack or something before the election, in which case the result would be similar of her winning the primary by default as the next most popular candidate. Maybe not likely, but again, possible

    • aew360@lemm.ee
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      6
      arrow-down
      2
      ·
      10 months ago

      In a controlled experiment that is bound by the confines of logic, sure. She’s the leading eligible Republican. But in the real world where democracy in America is close to shattering, there’s no way she wins a general. All the prominent Republicans except for the ones who make their wealth off of free trade have endorsed Trump. Everyone in her home state has endorsed Trump. The governor, both senators, every congressman. They would likely flip their endorsements, but this is unprecedented. Trump wouldn’t accept the results. He would blame the RNC, and people like Ramaswamy and Kari Lake would echo his grievances. She won’t win the battleground states that way.

      • AnneBonny@lemmy.dbzer0.com
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        7
        ·
        10 months ago

        But in the real world where democracy in America is close to shattering, there’s no way she wins a general.

        I think they were talking about winning the primary if Trump is disqualified.

      • dudinax@programming.dev
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        3
        ·
        10 months ago

        She has very little chance of beating Biden if she wins the nomination, but I was writing about the nomination.