• mozz@mbin.grits.devOP
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    1
    arrow-down
    3
    ·
    5 months ago

    the reduction in turn out by people who are not energized by Biden and aren’t afraid of Trump has been a thing this whole time, it’s not new.

    Do you have numbers for this?

    Like voter turnout numbers for Biden vs Trump or vs Democrats in earlier elections? All the numbers I have seen are in the opposite direction, which is understandable, because the voters unlike the media understand how catastrophically high the stakes are.

    • AWistfulNihilist@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      3
      ·
      edit-2
      5 months ago

      You see it referenced all the time as a bit of democratic dogma. There was even a meme about it that hit the top of all/active like a few days ago on Lemmy. I like how this article from April puts it:

      https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/2024-turnout-apathy-biden-trump.html

      It’s not necessarily true, let me be clear, but it’s an active assumption. Higher turnout benefits Democrats. A reduction in turnout due to voter apathy will directly effect the Democrats more than the Republicans. The current propoganda campaign are targeting Democratic voters apathy rather than trying to switch a “swing voter.”

      This election will probably be at least as high as 2016, and like I think you are referencing, every election since 2016 had basically had record turnout over the last.

      Imo this election comes down to the number of voters who are motivated by abortion and worries about the supreme Court, which is middle aged to older people, high percentage women, reliable voters.

      He’s an interesting one that talks about the enthusiasm vs apathy of voters but doesn’t specifically turnout, which is against my interpretation. I struggle to understand the relevance of it in this context:

      https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/07/02/biden-trump-poll-post-debate/74263315007/

      • mozz@mbin.grits.devOP
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        arrow-down
        3
        ·
        edit-2
        5 months ago

        You see it referenced all the time as a bit of democratic dogma. There was even a meme about it that hit the top of all/active like a few days ago on Lemmy. I like how this article

        Imma stop you right there

        Yes, I am aware that it is a popular narrative in the media and on Lemmy. My question was, do you have numbers for it?

        Because my assertion that it isn’t actually true, and people are saying it anyway, and that the discrepancy and the reasons for the discrepancy is an important fact.

        • AWistfulNihilist@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          5
          ·
          edit-2
          5 months ago

          Yeah I referenced two articles talking about it in multiple ways.

          You acting like it’s a new thing that’s never been discussed was what I was referring too. It’s absolutely a thing! That’s a bit of goal post moving on your part to go from “wow I’ve never heard of this before!” To “I don’t think that’s status statically true.”

          https://lemmy.world/comment/11132168

          Like correct me if I’m wrong, this is you right? Are you also going senile?