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Alt text: They say you can’t argue with results, but what kind of defeatist attitude is that? If you stick with it, you can argue with ANYTHING.
A guy starts talking about “hard work” and yeah dude you probably did work hard, but you also offhandedly mentioned receiving half of a million dollars from people in your life who “believed in [you]” and I’d like for you to elaborate on that.
Not just speakers, bosses, authors, celebrities, and on and on. To be fair it’s hard to see how you couldn’t have been successful.
Without books like Fooled by Randomness I’m not sure I would know the difference.
One of my favorite scam stories from Dark Net Diaries is in one of the preambles and talks about an investment “advisor”.
You get a call from them about a stock tip about a stock going up, and they are like, you dont have to beleive me, just watch it. It goes up.
They call back the next week with a new stock tip talking about how they were right and made so much money. Again, they dont ask for an investment, just that you watch the stock. It goes up again.
They call back the next week with the ask.
Turns out, they were calling 1000 people, 500 going up, 500 going down. They called everyone that they had a right prediction for the second week. Same process 250 up, 250 down. They again call everyone that they had it right for.
Such a cool scam.
There’s a great episode of Derren Brown with this scam, but related to horse race betting
I sometimes get SMSes saying “Hi dad, I have a new number. Please write me on WhatsApp” and I get it, you send to enough people and there will be enough dads and everyone else is like Wtf and moves on. Once the SMS said “Hi mom/dad …” and I was like c’mon, pick one or lose both
I first read about this story in Fooled by randomness.
What an amazing book! All of Talib’s books are just as fantastic!
Hi, I coulnd’t find it swith ‘advisor’ sry 🙏
