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Would you press the button? An image of money: 99% chance you receive a million dollar An image of a raccoon: 1% chance you turn into a trash panda (they’re cute)

  • Veloxization@yiffit.netEnglish
    1·
    1 year ago

    Old comment, but I went through a bit of simple probability calculations to get this. If you have P(“transform into a raccoon”)=0.01, your odds of transforming into a raccoon after 100 presses is 1-(0.99100)≈0.634, meaning there’s still a 36.6% chance that you won’t turn into a raccoon during those 100 presses. :D More than 1 in 3.

    • Sloan the Serval
      1·
      1 year ago

      Thanks for that. Still pretty good odds that you’d get the TF, though. And I’d assume it’s even better after 200.