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Would you press the button? An image of money: 99% chance you receive a million dollar An image of a raccoon: 1% chance you turn into a trash panda (they’re cute)

  • Sloan the Serval
    1·
    1 year ago

    I mean, you can still just keep pushing the button over and over until you get the Raccoon TF. You’re almost but not entirely guaranteed to get it after 100 tries.

    • Veloxization@yiffit.netEnglish
      1·
      1 year ago

      Old comment, but I went through a bit of simple probability calculations to get this. If you have P(“transform into a raccoon”)=0.01, your odds of transforming into a raccoon after 100 presses is 1-(0.99100)≈0.634, meaning there’s still a 36.6% chance that you won’t turn into a raccoon during those 100 presses. :D More than 1 in 3.

      • Sloan the Serval
        1·
        1 year ago

        Thanks for that. Still pretty good odds that you’d get the TF, though. And I’d assume it’s even better after 200.